Unrealistic flood cost baffles IMF

Unrealistic flood cost baffles IMF

The government had estimated that the burden of the Rs1.8 trillion Kissan Package would not exceed Rs66 billion.

The Rs251 billion estimates that the finance ministry had shared with the IMF

this week did not match with the political statements and the figures published in the Post-Disaster and Need Assessment report prepared by international lenders.

“The Rs251 billion figure is exclusive of the financing requirements that the country

might need for the reconstruction needs and also delays the [IMF] mission’s arrival till next month,” an official of the finance ministry said.

“If the IMF does not send its mission to Pakistan in the next two weeks,

the disbursement of the next loan tranche will not materialise until January,” the official added.

The estimates submitted to the IMF left a lot of grey areas,

considering the fact that the government still lacked the district-wise data of the people affected by the floods,

bringing to the spotlight the Post-Disaster and Need Assessment report.

The IMF is seeking the details of the cost of the flood relief and rescue,

and more importantly the rehabilitation and reconstruction needs during the fiscal year 2022-23 as against the multi-year estimates of $16.3 billion or Rs3.5 trillion.

What is flood short note?

Floods are the most frequent type of natural disaster and occur when an overflow of water submerges land that is usually dry.

Floods are often caused by heavy rainfall, rapid snowmelt or a storm surge from a tropical cyclone or tsunami in coastal areas.

Causes of Floods

  • Massive Rainfall. Drainage systems and the effective infrastructure design aid during heavy rains. …
  • Overflowing of the Rivers. …
  • Collapsed Dams. …
  • Snowmelt. …
  • Deforestation. …
  • Climate change. …
  • Emission of Greenhouse Gases. …
  • Other Factors.

What are 5 effects of floods?

Loss of lives and property: Immediate impacts of flooding include loss of human life, damage to property, destruction of crops, loss of livestock,

non-functioning of infrastructure facilities and deterioration of health condition owing to waterborne diseases.Pakistan on Thursday

had to concede to the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) demand to exhibit the flood reconstruction cost in this
year’s budget after the global lender found the projected relief operation estimates of Rs251 billion or $1.1 billion “unrealistic”.

“The exact cost of the flood relief and reconstruction needs is critical to revising the IMF programme framework and determining

the accurate requirements for additional revenue and expenses cut measures,” the official said.

To break the gridlock

, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar held an online meeting with Nathan Porter,

the IMF mission chief for Pakistan.Later, the finance ministry announced that it was agreed that the expenditure estimates for flood-related humanitarian assistance during

the current year would be firmed up along with the evaluation of priority rehabilitation expenses.

The ministry added that for this purpose, an engagement for finalising the rehabilitation cost estimates “

at the technical level shall be expeditiously concluded for proceeding with the 9th Review”.

Finance Minister

Dar reiterated Pakistan’s commitment to successfully completing the IMF programme.

The statement marks a departure from the earlier position where

the finance ministry was not willing to show the reconstruction cost in this fiscal year’s budget.

The finance ministry stated that the two sides discussed the progress made with the ongoing IMF programme,

particularly the impact of floods on macroeconomic framework and targets for the current year. The IMF indicated its willingness to sympathetically view the targeted assistance for poor and vulnerable, especially the flood-hit people.

The official said the IMF was asking for the details of the reconstruction cost that would be booked in the budget in this fiscal year.

However, the official added that the Flood Resilient Recovery And Reconstruction Framework would not be ready before December 15.

A government functionary told The Express Tribune after

the IMF video call that it had been decided that the finance ministry would ask the planning ministry to at

According to the official

this had delayed the IMF mission’s visit to Pakistan,

despite the government sharing the budgeted estimates of the flood relief and rescue operations.

Dr Aisha Pasha, the minister of state for finance, said they were hoping that the IMF would send its mission to Pakistan by the end of this month,

while responding to a question whether or not the global lender’s team’s visit to Islamabad had been delayed at least until December.

Any further delay might aggravate Pakistan’s economic situation due to the pause in the disbursement of the budget-supported loans by the World Bank.

The State Bank of Pakistan reported on Thursday that during the week ending on

November 11, the gross official reserves remained shy of $8 billion — not enough to meet the foreign financing needs.

Sources said there was some frustration in the finance ministry over the IMF

delaying sending its mission to Pakistan as it had again started sending negative signals to the markets

The Rs251 billion was the cost of shelters, food and humanitarian assistance.
The IMF was informed that out of the Rs251 billion, a sum of Rs164 billion had already been disbursed.

The remaining requirements from November through June next year were estimated at Rs87 billion, according to the sources.


the IMF’s objection was that the Rs251 billion estimated cost did not match with the political claims and relief packages announced by Prime

The IMF has been informed that so far

Rs25 billion by the Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa government and Rs8 billion by the Balochistan government.

The remaining estimated requirements are mainly Rs66 billion for the Kissan Package;

Rs10 billion for picking up the cost of waiver and deferring the fuel-cost adjustments for the months of August and September; and Rs4 billion for the

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